Loading…
Texas A&M grain economist Mark Welch says drought in both hemispheres is raising questions about global yields, and that the Ukraine and Russia conflict threatens trade from regions that supply about 30% of world wheat exports. Southern Plains dryland wheat is in poor shape, while Kansas conditions are better.
Combined drought and conflict risk to wheat exports supports prices and encourages more planting, while South American dryness is lifting corn and soy. The outlook is supportive for feed grain prices.
cornsouth.comKatie GuthrieMar 1, 2022After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 322 past bullish weather events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.5% to +3.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
