
USDA Drought Monitor data show 57% of the US corn crop and 51% of soybeans, plus 64% of sorghum and 50% of winter wheat, are now in drought. Worsening conditions in the Midwest, especially Iowa and Illinois, are affecting crop conditions.
Widening drought coverage over the Corn Belt raises the risk of yield losses, supporting corn, soybean and sorghum prices and feed costs.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.