
AAA put the US national average for regular gasoline at $4.149 a gallon on Tuesday, Nov. 3, two cents below Monday and up $1.11 from a year earlier.
Diesel averaged $6.288, up $2.61 year on year, while Brent and WTI were trading near $106 and $98 after a sharp Monday fall.
Diesel and heating oil strength reflects the Middle East war and Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries, tightening distillate supply for feed logistics and farm costs. Crude swings driven by US-Iran peace headlines are keeping energy-linked feed input costs volatile.
After 102 past neutral macro events, WTI moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -3.3% to +2.5%), and +1.8% over 20.
After 54 past neutral macro events, BRENT moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -2.8% to +2.5%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 105 past bullish macro events, DIESEL moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.4% to +1.8%), and +1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.