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Jet fuel prices surged Friday after Israel struck more than 100 nuclear and military targets in Iran. Brent hit $78.50 at the open and was above $75 midday, up nearly $6 on the week, while traders feared Iranian action against Gulf shipments and Red Sea routes.
Threats to Gulf fuel shipments and Red Sea/Suez transit raise freight and product costs, lifting crude and distillate prices.
energyintel.comAuthors Kerry Preston, London Frans Koster, New York Freddie Yap, Singapore Editor Kerry PrestonJun 13, 2025After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 250 past bullish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -3.6% to +8.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Brent hit $78.50 at the open and was up nearly $6 on the week on fears of attacks on Gulf shipments and Red Sea routes.
Brent hit $78.50 at the open on fears of Iranian action against Gulf shipments and Red Sea routes, a supply-disruption premium.
Brent hit $78.50 at the open on June 13 on fears of Iranian action against Gulf and Red Sea shipping, which adds detail on the supply-disruption premium.
Jet fuel and Brent surge on June 13 reflects distillate-complex sentiment and fears of Gulf shipping disruption.
Jet fuel and Brent surged on fears of disrupted Gulf and Red Sea shipments, which are correlated middle-distillate moves.
