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The IMF cut its global growth forecasts, citing the US-China tariff war, weaker growth in the eurozone, Britain and Japan, and rising interest rates that are driving capital outflows from emerging markets such as Argentina, Brazil, Turkey, South Africa and Indonesia.
Slower global growth and tariff disruption reduce demand for meat and feed, and capital outflows weaken EM currencies that are important feed importers, which pressures grain and meal prices.
reuters.comDavid LawderOct 9, 2018After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
