Euro strengthens above 1.1150 as Eurozone GDP beats forecasts, US midterm election looms

After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.

• Jul 31, 2026EUR/USD Price Forecast — Euro (1.1501) Holds 1.15 as Eurozone GDP Doubles Forecast at 0.4% and HICP Hits 2.9%-0.0%
• Jul 29, 2024EUR/USD extends upside above 1.0850, eyes on Eurozone GDP, Fed rate decision — Octa+0.5%
• Jun 6, 2019Forex Market: Euro strengthens after ECB dashes dovish hopes+0.6%
• Aug 31, 2021What Does the Higher Eurozone Inflation Have in Store for the EUR/USD?+0.5%
• Mar 30, 2022Euro rises vs dollar as eurozone inflation fans rate hike expectations | Money & Forex Markets - Business Standard-1.6%

After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Jul 31, 2026EUR/USD Price Forecast — Euro (1.1501) Holds 1.15 as Eurozone GDP Doubles Forecast at 0.4% and HICP Hits 2.9%-0.1%
• Jul 29, 2024EUR/USD extends upside above 1.0850, eyes on Eurozone GDP, Fed rate decision — Octa-0.2%
• Jun 6, 2019Forex Market: Euro strengthens after ECB dashes dovish hopes-0.5%
• Jul 31, 2026Australian Dollar gathers strength above 0.7000 amid softer US GDP data-0.1%
• Sep 28, 2025USD/JPY strengthens to near 149.50 as US PCE data reinforces Fed dovish bets-0.3%