
EUR/USD traded near 1.0860 on July 29, 2024, as markets priced a near-certain September Fed rate cut after June US PCE inflation eased to 2.5%. Traders also weighed the chance of another ECB cut.
Expectations of Fed easing weaken the dollar, which tends to support dollar-priced commodities such as soybean meal and corn in global markets.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.