
EUR/USD traded at 1.1501 after Eurozone second-quarter GDP grew 0.4% against a 0.2% forecast and July HICP rose to 2.9%. The Fed held rates steady with three regional presidents dissenting in favor of a hike, and the euro rallied on the data.
A firmer euro and softer dollar tend to lift US-priced feed commodities for overseas buyers, while persistent eurozone energy inflation keeps the ECB hike path in focus.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.