Loading…
South Africa's winter wheat harvest is underway, led by the Western Cape, with early commercial deliveries reported since October. The Crop Estimates Committee cut the 2026-27 wheat estimate by 1% to 1.79 million tonnes, down 6% year on year and the lowest in about eight years, with national yields around 3.67 t/ha, also the lowest in eight years.
A smaller domestic crop raises South Africa's reliance on wheat imports, supporting import demand and世界 wheat export flows from Black Sea and other origins. The effect on global prices is modest given South Africa's size.
farmingportal.co.zaNov 2, 2026farmingportal.co.zaNov 2, 2026After 322 past bullish weather events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.5% to +3.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
