
Early Kansas-area hard red winter wheat harvest samples averaged 10.6% protein across the first 14 tests, below last year's record-low 11.2%. Analysts expect a second straight low-protein crop, shifting attention to the higher-protein spring wheat crop.
A second low-protein HRW crop tightens supply of quality wheat, supporting Minneapolis spring wheat and protein-driven premiums. Feed buyers may see higher costs for wheat used in blends.
After 322 past bullish weather events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.5% to +3.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.