Cash prices for hard red winter wheat in the southern U.S. Plains are surging as buyers scramble for high-protein new-crop supplies. The crop could be the second-smallest in decades, according to traders.
A tight HRW crop amid a global shortage of high-protein wheat supports premiums for HRW and pulls demand away from lower-quality stocks, lifting prices for feed-grade wheat buyers.
After 322 past bullish weather events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.5% to +3.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.