Chicago wheat futures rose to a three-week high of $5.45 a bushel on Friday as traders assessed reports of Chinese purchases of U.S. wheat. Exporters had sold at least two cargoes of hard red winter wheat and two of soybeans to Chinese buyers, and talk of broader Chinese buying lifted corn and soybeans.
Chinese purchases of U.S. wheat, corn and soybeans increase export demand and tighten U.S. supplies, supporting prices. Corn also tracked crude oil, which adds an energy-linked influence.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 102 past bullish trade events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.0% to +3.5%), and -1.4% over 20.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Chicago wheat reached a three-week high on 3/20 as traders assessed Chinese buying of US HRW cargoes, a demand/trade-flow driver within the window.