U.S. wheat export sales through January 4 were 8% behind last year's pace in volume at 19.5 MMT but 4% ahead in value at $4.72 billion. Sales to six of the top ten markets were ahead of last year, and HRW sales to Mexico rose 28%.
Stronger export values and steady buying from key markets support wheat prices, though lower volumes signal limited upside from demand alone.
After 102 past bullish trade events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.0% to +3.5%), and -1.4% over 20.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.