
Soybeans, corn and wheat futures rallied on fund and technical buying, with November soybeans reaching a two-year high. China bought 132,000 tons of 2020/21 US soybeans and 210,000 tons of US corn, and the corn purchase already exceeds USDA's full-year China import estimate.
A 100,000-ton US soymeal sale to unknown destinations was also reported.
Large Chinese purchases of US corn and soybeans tighten export availability and support futures and meal prices. Buying to bolster Chinese feed supplies after typhoon damage adds to the demand case, though delivery risk remains.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Fund and technical buying plus Chinese purchases of soybeans and a 100k t soymeal sale drove a two-year high in soybeans, lifting meal.