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CME live cattle futures closed higher on June 23 ahead of the USDA Cattle on Feed report, supported by short covering and discounts to cash. Cash cattle in the Plains fell to $118-$123/cwt from $127-$134 a week earlier, and May cattle placements hit a 10-year high for the month.
Heavy placements add to future feedlot supply and are mildly bearish, while the sharp drop in cash prices and slack seasonal beef demand weigh on cattle values.
country-guide.caTheopolis WatersJun 23, 2017After 144 past bearish report events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.9%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 44 past neutral report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (59% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.0%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 159 past bearish report events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
