
CME live cattle closed mostly lower on December 22 after USDA's Cattle on Feed report showed more cattle entering feedlots in November than a year earlier. Cash cattle in the Plains traded $119-$120/cwt, supported by tight supplies and holiday grocery buying, while November cold storage beef stocks fell 4% month over month.
Heavier feedlot placements signal more cattle to feed in the near term, supporting feed grain demand, but the bearish report pressured futures.
After 144 past bearish report events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.9%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 126 past bearish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.0%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.