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USDA's May WASDE and Crop Production reports showed a lower-than-expected 2023-24 corn carryout of 2.022 billion bushels, driven by higher domestic usage and 50 million bushels more exports. The 2024-25 corn estimate of 14.9 billion bushels assumed a record 181 bu/acre yield on 90 million planted acres.
Wheat production came in 40 million bushels below trade expectations, while soybean changes were minor.
Tighter-than-expected corn stocks and a smaller wheat crop support prices for feed grains, and buyers should expect firmer corn and wheat costs. The record yield assumption leaves room for a downside correction if summer weather is favorable.
dtnpf.comDana MantiniMay 10, 2024After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
