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FarmWeek reports that coronavirus-driven closures and cancellations clouded the March USDA Cattle on Feed report. Analyst Rich Nelson said wholesale beef rebounded over $40 as consumers stockpiled, but that gain had not carried into cash cattle.
He expects tight fourth-quarter supply.
A wholesale beef rebound that does not reach cash cattle creates a margin squeeze for packers and uncertainty for feeders. Tighter supply later in the year could support fed cattle prices.
farmweeknow.comDANIEL GRANT FarmWeekMar 20, 2020After 78 past neutral report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.0%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 44 past neutral report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (59% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.0%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Wholesale beef rebounded over $40 on stockpiling and the Cattle on Feed report came in with some support, underpinning futures gains despite confusion.
Wholesale beef rebounded over $40 on consumer stockpiling and the Cattle on Feed report with tight Q4 supply expectations supported futures.
Wholesale beef rebounded over $40 on consumer stockpiling and the Cattle on Feed report was seen as supportive with tight Q4 supply, which underpinned futures buying.
