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CME lean hog futures fell nearly 4%, their biggest daily drop since mid-December 2015, after wholesale pork prices fell more than $21 per cwt in bellies. USDA reports showed record hog numbers and large pork belly stocks in cold storage.
Live cattle futures gained for a fourth straight session.
Record hog numbers and heavy cold storage stocks point to lower hog prices and reduced feed demand from hog producers, while firm cattle prices support feeder cattle demand.
country-guide.caTheopolis WatersJul 27, 2016After 159 past bearish report events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 268 past bullish report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Biggest one-day futures drop in seven months on a $21/cwt belly collapse and record hog numbers started the selloff within the window.
