Alarm bells over shift to trade war

After 480 past neutral trade events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.

• Jul 10, 2018Global trade war to be a boon for Black Sea grain-1.8%
• Dec 12, 2019Farmers receive $10.5 billion to offset trade war losses — APM Research Lab+5.5%
• Sep 8, 2017Winning at the border on trade - AgCanada-0.4%
• Jan 21, 2025Trump to hold off on tariffs, report says, easing trade war fears-0.5%
• Mar 26, 2018Corn and Beans Lower On China Trade Talk.+3.8%

After 250 past neutral trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Aug 17, 2018Soybean bulls and bears both watching China and trade talks-4.9%
• Dec 12, 2019Farmers receive $10.5 billion to offset trade war losses — APM Research Lab+3.9%
• Feb 4, 2020'Tough year,' says Perdue as USDA boosts trade-war payments to $14.5 billion+0.8%
• Mar 20, 2019As bumper harvest nears, Argentina's soy farmers stall deals waiting for trade war's end-0.4%
• Jan 3, 2020Planters’ peril: US farmers bear fallout of trade war uncertainty | Agriculture | Al Jazeera-1.1%