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Agricultural commodities sold off on Friday as investors priced in weaker Chinese demand for US soybeans and corn. The Trump administration announced tariffs on tens of billions of dollars of Chinese imports, and China responded with tariffs on $3 billion of US goods including pork.
Retaliation threats against US farm exports raise the risk of lower US export demand and weaker US grain prices, while higher Chinese feed costs could weigh on hog demand.
wsj.comDavid Hodari, Lucy CraymerMar 23, 2018After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 123 past bearish trade events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.0%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
