USDA's April 10 WASDE raised U.S. wheat carryover on June 1, 2018 to 1,064 million bushels, while lowering soybean carryover and raising corn carryover. Wheat carryover rose 30 million bushels on lower feed and residual use, above trade expectations.
Higher U.S. wheat stocks add to supply and weigh on wheat prices. A smaller soybean carryover supports soybean prices, and the corn change was close to trade estimates.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.