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USDA's December 12 report raised 2018 U.S. wheat carryover to 960 million bushels, up 25 million from November, on a 25 million bushel export cut. The agency attributed the reduction to heightened Canadian competition in Latin America and East Asia.
Higher wheat carryover from reduced export demand is bearish for U.S. wheat prices, as Canadian supply competes in key export markets. The change is moderate relative to total supplies.
foodbusinessnews.netMatt NoltemeyerDec 13, 2017After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 138 past bearish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.4%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
