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U.S. Wheat Associates president Vince Peterson argues that Russian wheat yields have been record-setting, reaching 85 MMT in 2017, while Russia's planted wheat area has barely expanded. He notes that Russia sends over 80% of its wheat exports to Africa and the Middle East, regions with structural import deficits.
Russia's strong yields and steady export focus keep competitive pressure on U.S. wheat in deficit importing regions, which is bearish for wheat export prices.
uswheat.orgApr 5, 2018After 375 past bearish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 82 past bearish trade events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.8% to +1.9%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
