
The PBOC held its benchmark rates steady after the Fed's third rate hike of the year, while Hong Kong raised its base lending rate to keep its currency peg steady. The PBOC also set the yuan daily midpoint fixing 71 basis points lower.
Divergence between US and Chinese rates affects capital flows and currency values, which in turn influence the cost of dollar-priced US feed commodities for Chinese importers.
After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.