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Fed minutes from the late July and early August meeting show policymakers held rates at 1.75% to 2.0% while signaling further tightening. Members flagged the global trade dispute as a risk, and the dollar index traded near 95.2.
Signals of further rate hikes support the dollar, which tends to pressure US commodity export prices and emerging-market import demand.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.