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Following a hotter-than-expected inflation reading, rate futures priced in a half-point Federal Reserve hike in March 2022 and a path to 1.75%-2.00% by year-end. The market saw only a slight chance of a smaller quarter-point move.
Aggressive tightening expectations strengthen the dollar and pressure commodity prices, including feed ingredients priced in dollars. Stronger dollar conditions can also reduce import demand from emerging markets.
reuters.comAnn SaphirFeb 10, 2022After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
