
The Fed is likely to hike rates in March, with Powell signaling a sustained fight against inflation and a decision soon on shrinking the balance sheet. The dollar surged 0.5% to a one-month high against a basket of major currencies.
A rate-driven dollar rally tends to pressure dollar-denominated commodity prices and raises carrying costs for inventories and feed purchases.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Dated 2022-01-27, it describes the dollar surging to a one-month high after Powell signaled a March hike and a sustained inflation fight, a hawkish repricing that drove the move.