
Reuters reports that a trade war could push Beijing to take a heavier hand on the yuan, which has already lost about 5 percent so far this year. The yuan faces downward pressure from domestic monetary easing, rising US yields and a broad dollar rise.
A weaker yuan makes Chinese imports pricier in dollar terms and can curb Chinese buying of US feed inputs, so a deeper yuan slide tends to weigh on US grain and meal export demand.
After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.