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The offshore yuan weakened to its lowest since November on June 7, and the onshore rate breached 6.93 per dollar on June 10 for the first time this year. Analysts increasingly believe Chinese officials will not defend the 7 per dollar level, citing dovish PBOC comments.
A break through 7 per dollar would signal a sharp yuan depreciation that makes US farm exports more expensive for Chinese buyers and may further delay purchases, pressuring US soybean and feed grain prices.
straitstimes.comJun 11, 2019After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
