
Corn futures gained after the WASDE report, with USDA estimating corn at 14.78 billion bushels on a 180.7 bpa yield. Soybean crop estimate of 4.69 billion bushels was unchanged, and USDA raised corn exports by 75 million bushels to 2.475 billion.
A higher corn export forecast tightens domestic corn supply, supporting feed grain prices. Rising interest rates and equity selling added macro pressure on markets.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 53 past bullish report events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.5%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.