
Euromoney reviews how commodity-linked currencies such as the Canadian dollar, Australian dollar and Russian rouble have been driven more by central bank policy than by commodity prices. It notes both AUD and CAD fell sharply in late 2018 with crude.
Dealers point to weak demand from China and high producer debt.
Commodity-currency weakness reflects softer crude and raw material demand, signaling lower energy-linked and industrial commodity prices that can pressure feed input costs.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.