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U.S. soybean futures edged higher and were set for a weekly gain of nearly 3% after USDA cut its 2019-20 soybean production estimate to 3.845 billion bushels from 4.150 billion, with yield lowered to 48.5 bushels per acre. USDA also cut world and Russian, EU, Australian and Canadian wheat production and lowered global wheat ending stocks.
A sharply smaller U.S. soybean crop and tighter wheat stocks support soybean, meal and wheat prices, with soybean meal benefiting from reduced crush supply.
financialpost.comReutersJul 12, 2019After 747 past bullish report events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, SBM moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 180 past bullish report events, KWHEAT moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.7%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
