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USDA lowered Sept. 1 stocks estimates, with the 2016 soybean crop cut 11 million bushels to 4.296 billion and corn ending stocks at 2.295 billion bushels, smaller than expected.
Soybean and corn futures rose midday on the report. Wheat stocks came in above trade guesses.
Smaller implied old-crop stocks point to higher summer feed usage, which tightens feed grain supplies and supports prices.
feedstuffs.comBryce Knorr 1 Senior Market Analyst, Farm FuturesSep 29, 2017After 1,040 past bullish report events, CORN moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
