Chicago corn rose more than 3% and soybeans rallied after USDA acreage data came in below trade expectations, with corn planting at 92.692 million acres and soybeans at 87.555 million. Hot, dry weather in northern and western growing areas added supply concerns.
Wheat edged higher as the rally in corn and soybeans offset pressure from winter wheat harvest.
Lower-than-expected US acreage and heat risk tighten the outlook for corn and soybean supplies, raising feed grain and meal costs for buyers. Weather remains the key price driver through the growing season.
After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Soybean acreage of 87.555M came in below trade expectations on June 30, and hot, dry weather in the north and west added supply concerns, driving the rally.
Soybean acreage of 87.555M acres came in below trade expectations, and hot, dry weather in northern growing areas added supply concerns, so soybeans rallied.
Acreage below trade expectations plus hot, dry weather in growing areas fueled a rally in soybeans and corn, which supports meal prices.