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USDA's first 2022 production outlook projects 92.0 million acres of U.S. corn, down 1.4 million acres (1.5%) from 2021, as high input costs shift land to other crops. Soybean and wheat acreage are raised.
The report was released before the Russian invasion of Ukraine and does not reflect the resulting market moves.
Lower corn acreage tightens the corn supply outlook and supports prices, while higher soybean and wheat plantings add supply and weigh on those markets. Fertilizer costs are a key driver of the acreage shift.
farmprogress.comJacqueline HollandFeb 24, 2022After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
