Chinese crushers were granted a third round of tariff waivers to buy another 10 million tons of U.S. soybeans without retaliatory duties. Chicago soybean futures rose to a one-week high of $9.59 a bushel, and Trump said China had started buying.
Tariff waivers reopen the Chinese market to U.S. soybeans after Brazilian buying, supporting U.S. soybean prices and meal demand.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.