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China's Ministry of Finance published a list of 696 American products, including soybeans, pork, beef, corn, wheat, crude oil and LNG, eligible for relief from retaliatory duties. Companies can apply for waivers from March 2, with exemptions valid for one year up to approved volumes.
This is the first time energy products have been included.
The waivers lower the effective cost of US grains and oilseeds for Chinese buyers, which supports US export sales and futures. Volumes above approved quotas remain tariffed, which limits how much extra demand the list can create.
caixinglobal.comFeb 19, 2020After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 36 past bullish trade events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.6% over 5 sessions (69% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.5%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
