Chinese media suggested Beijing may impose tariffs on US soybean imports, but CBOT soybean and meal futures rose on November 30, with soybeans settling 5.75 cents higher at $10.2825 per bushel. Brokers said a Chinese tariff was unlikely and infeasible.
Tariff threats normally weigh on soybeans, but the market's dismissal of the risk limits downside and keeps prices supported.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.