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ING says it is unexcited about the euro, citing lacklustre eurozone growth, weak prospects for ECB tightening, and a currency no longer cheap versus the dollar. It forecasts a range-bound EUR/USD of 1.10-1.15 next year with downside risks.
A persistently weak euro favours US dollar strength, which tends to pressure dollar-denominated commodity prices and makes US feed exports pricier for euro buyers.
think.ing.comNov 28, 2019After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
