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Strong dollar conditions persisted as several BRICS currencies, including the Brazilian real, came under pressure from both Trump's tariff threats and home-grown fiscal problems. Markets also watched US JOLTS job openings data and a possible French government collapse.
Currency weakness in emerging markets raises import costs for feed buyers in those countries, while a firmer dollar tends to pressure dollar-denominated grain and feed prices.
think.ing.comChris Turner, Frantisek Taborsky, Francesco PesoleDec 3, 2024After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
