Loading…
ING's Latam FX outlook for 2023 expects continued tension in the region after leftward election shifts in Colombia, Chile and Brazil. It notes the Brazilian real had been a strong performer before recent fiscal concerns, and favours the Mexican peso.
Forecasts of a weaker real under Lula's fiscal policy would lower Brazilian export prices in dollars, which matters for soybean, corn and meal pricing over the coming year.
think.ing.comChris TurnerNov 16, 2022After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
