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The US dollar rose to its highest level against the Brazilian real since June, gaining more than 6 percent since Trump's election victory. The pair traded near 3.35 after a jump to 3.38, and the central bank suspended a currency swap auction that day.
A sharp real sell-off raises the dollar cost of Brazilian feed and soybean meal purchases and can make Brazilian soybean exports cheaper for global buyers. Central bank intervention signals official resistance to further sharp moves.
octaafrica.netNov 10, 2016After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 73 past neutral macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.1%), and -1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Reports dated 2016-11-10 describe USD/BRL jumping to the highest since June, up more than 6% since the election, with the central bank suspending a swap auction, which matches the size and timing of the 1-day move.
The dollar gained over 6% against the real after the election and hit its highest level since June, which captures the bulk of the move in the window.
