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USD/BRL broke out to a three-month high after the Fed's September 20 decision and a 50 bp Brazilian rate cut the same day. The pair then pulled back to retest support near the 5.00 level at prior resistance.
A weaker real makes Brazilian soybeans, soymeal and corn cheaper for foreign buyers, which can pressure US and global feed export prices if the trend holds.
forex.comJames StanleySep 29, 2023After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 117 past bearish macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
