
The $1-per-gallon biodiesel blender's tax credit has been extended through 2022 and retroactively restored for 2018 and 2019 production. The credit narrows the price gap between biodiesel and petroleum diesel.
A durable credit supports biodiesel margins and plant run rates, which underpins soybean oil demand for biofuel use.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 27 past neutral policy events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -4.3% to +2.6%), and -4.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.