Indonesia palm oil export curbs, biodiesel plans to hit world vegoil supplies

After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Mar 9, 2022Indonesia tightens palm oil export curbs in new hit to global supplies | Reuters-2.3%
• Aug 19, 2020Indonesia mulls palm oil levies increase to support biodiesel plans-0.7%
• Oct 9, 2024Higher biodiesel mandates in Indonesia to curb palm oil supplies, analyst says-0.0%
• Jun 30, 2023Palm oil quotes support Indonesia's plans to increase its biodiesel content to 40%+8.5%
• Jul 25, 2025Indonesia’s B50 Biodiesel Tightens Palm Oil Supply-0.5%

After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Mar 9, 2022Indonesia tightens palm oil export curbs in new hit to global supplies | Reuters-6.9%
• Aug 19, 2020Indonesia mulls palm oil levies increase to support biodiesel plans+1.3%
• Oct 9, 2024Higher biodiesel mandates in Indonesia to curb palm oil supplies, analyst says-2.5%
• Jun 30, 2023Palm oil quotes support Indonesia's plans to increase its biodiesel content to 40%+7.8%
• Jun 30, 2026Indonesia's biodiesel push, El Niño risks to tighten palm oil supply+1.3%

After 27 past neutral policy events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -4.3% to +2.6%), and -4.6% over 20.

• Nov 7, 2024Indonesia targets three-year timeline for 50% biodiesel mandate-2.4%
• Apr 26, 2019Minister: Govt to intervene in event of steep palm oil, biofuel price hike | Malay Mail-1.2%
• Mar 9, 2020The Biodiesel Tax Credit: What Does the New Extension Mean? - OPIS, A Dow Jones Company-17.1%
• May 4, 2026Malaysia ramps up biodiesel use amid soaring energy bills - CNA-1.7%
• Jun 1, 2026Renewable fuel credit prices hit records on U.S. biofuel mandates, oil market volatility+1.7%