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Wheat futures bounced sharply off an eight-month low as concerns over the EU winter crop grew, outweighing worries about Russia. Western and central Europe had insufficient spring rain, and Siberian spring wheat is short of moisture.
EU exports have passed 35 million tonnes, with Russian exports restricted for the final two months of the marketing year.
Dryness in the EU and Siberia threatens northern hemisphere wheat output, supporting prices. Strong EU exports and Russian restrictions also tighten export availability for feed grains.
grainbrokers.com.auMay 26, 2020After 1,072 past bullish weather events, WHEAT moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 322 past bullish weather events, KWHEAT moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.5% to +3.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
