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USDA's June WASDE report lowered 2019/20 corn production by 45 million bushels and cut corn-for-ethanol use by 50 million bushels, leaving old-crop stocks at 2.103 billion bushels. Soybean new-crop ending stocks fell 10 million bushels to 395 million, while global wheat stocks rose to a record 11.6 billion bushels.
Lower soybean carryout supports soybean and soymeal prices for feed buyers, while record global wheat stocks are bearish for wheat and wheat-based feed ingredients. Corn futures rose modestly after the report on the tighter balance.
feedstuffs.comBen PotterJun 11, 2020After 1,040 past bullish report events, CORN moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, SBM moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
