
China has told state-owned firms to halt large purchases of US soybeans and pork, according to two people familiar with the matter. Large state purchases of US corn and cotton have also been put on hold.
The move followed Washington's plan to eliminate special treatment for Hong Kong.
A halt in Chinese state buying removes a major source of US export demand for soybeans, corn and pork, which is bearish for US prices. Further escalation could widen the halt to more farm goods.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 123 past bearish trade events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.0%), and -0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.