
US lean hog futures hit their lowest in nearly two months on 10 November after the 3-cent daily trading limit was hit the previous day. Traders feared the US-China trade war would last longer after President Trump announced tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese goods would rise to 25%.
Higher US-China tariffs threaten pork export demand to China, which is rebuilding its herd after African swine fever, so hog prices face downside pressure until a trade resolution.
After 123 past bearish trade events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.0%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.